Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.684007 0.805810 0.937876 1.091084 1.263282 1.450202 1.667784
2025-07-20 0.488490 0.656217 0.856394 1.109755 1.418531 1.779209 2.228710
2025-07-27 0.356057 0.542028 0.784591 1.116155 1.548879 2.085421 2.790971
2025-08-03 0.255174 0.439665 0.701779 1.086411 1.619856 2.316080 3.273591
2025-08-10 0.193493 0.374589 0.652814 1.087382 1.722069 2.586306 3.818730
2025-08-17 0.141768 0.309901 0.589530 1.053750 1.765794 2.774126 4.260009
2025-08-24 0.110962 0.271423 0.558045 1.059785 1.861949 3.035350 4.811252
2025-08-31 0.085970 0.236033 0.523905 1.054367 1.936291 3.265698 5.327290
2025-09-07 0.072284 0.219392 0.519155 1.095324 2.083851 3.609755 6.021459
2025-09-14 0.059610 0.200882 0.506989 1.120466 2.205682 3.919376 6.677083
2025-09-21 0.045538 0.173844 0.472360 1.099475 2.246896 4.104203 7.151442
2025-09-28 0.037404 0.159311 0.460688 1.119039 2.357154 4.401440 7.807405
2025-10-05 0.030036 0.144432 0.446334 1.133441 2.462745 4.702389 8.492129
2025-10-12 0.024225 0.131869 0.434954 1.152623 2.578851 5.027710 9.231536
2025-10-19 0.018991 0.118494 0.418650 1.159192 2.671727 5.318751 9.928513
2025-10-26 0.013643 0.100999 0.387323 1.128538 2.690790 5.484517 10.428870
2025-11-02 0.010423 0.090188 0.371338 1.129534 2.770050 5.756408 11.111756
2025-11-09 0.007202 0.076187 0.342046 1.094877 2.774627 5.896031 11.578776
2025-11-16 0.005478 0.068702 0.330575 1.101096 2.861547 6.184661 12.304134
2025-11-23 0.003989 0.060793 0.315344 1.095512 2.922811 6.428687 12.961060
2025-11-30 0.003335 0.058363 0.318500 1.137713 3.087952 6.869480 13.969187
2025-12-07 0.002642 0.054578 0.315695 1.163614 3.219274 7.252277 14.887918
2025-12-14 0.001771 0.047137 0.296472 1.141990 3.244432 7.436549 15.465255